Will Britain or America raise interest rates first?

AMERICAN and British central bankers face a similar tough choice. On both sides of the Atlantic, the economy is growing moderately, and unemployment is closing in on 5%­­. As a result, wage growth is picking up. But inflation remains low: 0.2% in America and zero in Britain, according to the central banks’ respective preferred measures. And nobody is certain how much slack remains in labour markets­­—a key determinant of inflationary pressure. In this mixed environment, when is...

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