Trump now leads Cruz by more than five points in Iowa per RCP poll average

Ed touched on this in his post about the new Fox News poll of Iowa but I thought people would want to see what the trend lines look like. Here’s RCP’s average of various polls of Iowa since New Year’s. The blue line is Trump, the black line is Cruz.

“Fair enough,” you say, “but some of those polls are unreliable. Shouldn’t we rate the numbers from more reliable pollsters more heavily?” Well, FiveThirtyEight did that. Here’s what the state of the race looks like to...


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