Pollsters’ 2016 postmortem: National election surveys were accurate — it was the state polls that got it wrong

(Credit: Getty/Kayana Szymczak)

Since Donald Trump’s unexpected win on election night last year, the conventional wisdom about the campaign polling has been that the survey industry completely botched things. Trump himself has repeatedly fed that perception by frequently deriding unfavorable polls as “fake news,” even though he had admitted in December of last year that he expected he’d lose to Democrat Hillary Clinton. Contrary to popular perception, however, a new study conducted...

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