Helmut Norpoth, Moody’s Models Show Different Results for Election Day

Helmut Norpoth, a political science professor at Stony Brook University, is using a model that says Donald Trump will take the presidency—but one from Moody’s as of on Tuesday suggests a big victory for Clinton.

The model Norpoth is using has predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1912, with the exception of 2000—when Al Gore won the popular vote but was bested George W. Bush in the Electoral College.

“If [Clinton] was leading by 10 or 20 points, I would say this...

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