El Nino Season Two? [Greg Laden's Blog]

It is like that stabby lady in the bath tub in that movie.

Here, I’ll give you a more readable version of the graphic from NOAA:

The chance of an the Pacific ENSO system being neutral, meaning, not adding extra heat to the atmosphere and not removing extra heat form the atmosphere, is about 50% from now through mid 2017.

But, the chance of an El Nino is pretty darn low, and the chance of an El Nino, which would add more heat to the atmosphere than the average year, is not only...

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